NPIP Weekly Intelligence Report
📅 May 31 – May 31, 2026
🎯 All Candidates
⚡ Generated May 31, 2026 20:05
🔒 Confidential — For Authorized Recipients Only
📋 Executive Summary
- Over 3420 political posts analyzed across 25 states in the past 7 days.
- Sentiment is 22% positive vs 24% negative — a net negative environment.
- 18 active narratives identified; leading: Election Integrity (121 posts).
- ✅ No critical alerts in this period.
- 🛡 1 posts flagged as bot/suspicious activity.
3420
Posts Scraped
7-day total
22%
Positive Sentiment
60 posts
24%
Negative Sentiment
66 posts
18
Active Narratives
Top: apathy
📊 Sentiment Overview
22%
Positive
55%
Neutral
24%
Negative
Sentiment Ratio: Negative sentiment dominates by 2 percentage points. Neutral sentiment accounts for 55% of all analyzed content.
7-Day Sentiment Score Trend
Dashed line = period average · Each bar = daily sentiment volume
📡 Top Political Narratives
| # | Narrative | Posts | Emotion | Velocity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Election Integrity 🤖 | 121 | 💬 apathy | 14/hr |
| 2 | Party Politics | 32 | 💬 distrust | 6/hr |
| 3 | Government Incompetence | 21 | 💬 frustration | 1/hr |
| 4 | Economic Hardship | 21 | 💬 optimism | 3/hr |
| 5 | Security Deterioration | 18 | 😨 fear | 3/hr |
| 6 | Government Performance | 14 | 💬 optimism | 2/hr |
| 7 | Political Alliances | 11 | 💬 distrust | 1/hr |
| 8 | Ethnic Politics | 8 | 😨 fear | 1/hr |
Dominant Narrative: Election Integrity leads with 121 posts at 14 posts/hour.
🔔 Active Alerts & Crisis Watch
Coordinated activity: 'Election Integrity'
Suspicious coordinated posting around 'Election Integrity'. Low author diversity suggests bot campaign or organized amplification.
May 31, 2026 20:03
Coordinated activity: 'Election Integrity'
Suspicious coordinated posting around 'Election Integrity'. Low author diversity suggests bot campaign or organized amplification.
May 31, 2026 20:03
Coordinated activity: 'Election Integrity'
Suspicious coordinated posting around 'Election Integrity'. Low author diversity suggests bot campaign or organized amplification.
May 31, 2026 19:47
Keyword spike: "election"
30 mentions in last 30 minutes across Niger, Anambra, Lagos, Abuja, Oyo, FCT, Rivers, Ebonyi.
May 31, 2026 19:47
Keyword spike: "election"
30 mentions in last 30 minutes across Niger, Anambra, Lagos, Abuja, Oyo, FCT, Rivers, Ebonyi.
May 31, 2026 19:47
Keyword spike: "election"
30 mentions in last 30 minutes across Niger, Anambra, Lagos, Abuja, Oyo, FCT, Rivers, Ebonyi.
May 31, 2026 19:47
Spike detected: 'Election Integrity'
Narrative 'Election Integrity' growing at 14 posts/hr (acceleration: +14).
May 31, 2026 20:03
Spike detected: 'Party Politics'
Narrative 'Party Politics' growing at 6 posts/hr (acceleration: +6).
May 31, 2026 20:03
Spike detected: 'Election Integrity'
Narrative 'Election Integrity' growing at 14 posts/hr (acceleration: +14).
May 31, 2026 20:03
Spike detected: 'Election Integrity'
Narrative 'Election Integrity' growing at 14 posts/hr (acceleration: +14).
May 31, 2026 19:47
🏆 Top Influencers
dailypost_news
39.08
15 posts · ➖ Neutral · dailypost
ripples_news
25.09
5 posts · negative · ripples
premium_times_news
20.92
6 posts · negative · premium times
punch_news
19.99
3 posts · ➖ Neutral · punch
thecable_news
12.93
2 posts · negative · thecable
daily_trust_news
10.99
3 posts · — · daily trust
🗺 Regional Sentiment Map
| State | Posts | Dominant Sentiment | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lagos | 101 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Abuja | 93 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Niger | 31 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Oyo | 17 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Rivers | 12 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Imo | 7 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Kano | 7 | Positive | 🟢 Low |
| Delta | 6 | Negative | 🟡 Moderate |
| Edo | 5 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Anambra | 4 | Positive | 🟢 Low |
| FCT | 4 | Mixed | 🟢 Low |
| Kwara | 4 | Positive | 🟢 Low |
📌 Top Political Topics
| Topic | Posts |
|---|---|
| 2027 Presidential Candidacy | 7 |
| party primaries | 7 |
| Political Endorsement | 5 |
| Presidential Candidacy | 4 |
| Internal Party Politics | 4 |
| primary election results | 3 |
| Primary Election Outcome | 3 |
| Internal party conflict | 3 |
| Candidate Selection | 3 |
| 2027 Presidential Election | 3 |
🏛 Cultural Frame Analysis
| Frame | Posts | % |
|---|---|---|
| us_vs_them | 48 | 53% |
| lagos_urban_voice | 35 | 38% |
| southeast_economic | 4 | 4% |
| resilience_resistance | 2 | 2% |
| grassroots_struggle | 2 | 2% |
Insight: Cultural frames reveal how political issues are being contextualized across different discourse communities.
🌍 Language Distribution
English 100%
| Language | Posts | % |
|---|---|---|
| English | 328 | 100% |
Insight: English dominates at 100%,
while indigenous languages (Pidgin, Hausa, Yoruba, Igbo) comprise 0% of coverage.
📰 Source Breakdown
| Source | Posts | % |
|---|---|---|
| Freedom online | 38 | 10% |
| New telegraph | 36 | 10% |
| Independent | 34 | 9% |
| Nigerian observer | 27 | 7% |
| Pm news | 24 | 7% |
| Radionigeria | 23 | 6% |
| Von | 20 | 5% |
| Dailypost | 20 | 5% |
| Business day | 19 | 5% |
| Daily report ng | 18 | 5% |
| Ynaija | 13 | 4% |
| Bellanaija | 12 | 3% |
| Channelstv | 11 | 3% |
| Metrowatch | 10 | 3% |
| Business hallmark | 10 | 3% |
| Nan | 10 | 3% |
| Information nigeria | 8 | 2% |
| The whistler | 8 | 2% |
| Daily trust | 6 | 2% |
| Informant247 | 6 | 2% |
| Daily nigerian | 5 | 1% |
| Within nigeria | 4 | 1% |
| News ng | 3 | 1% |
| Daily asset | 2 | 1% |
| Premium times | 1 | 0% |
🔮 72-Hour Predictive Outlook
| Narrative | Predicted Polarity | Confidence | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election Integrity | Positive | 30% | Limited data shows sharp decline from 11 to 1-2 posts/hr despite positive acceleration metric. Positive sentiment dominates small sample (3 pos vs 2 n |
💡 Strategic Recommendations
- Favorable conditions: Current sentiment environment is manageable. Maintain existing communication strategy with targeted reinforcement in key states.
- Coordinated activity detected: Top narrative shows signs of orchestrated amplification. Investigate actor networks and prepare counter-narrative strategy.
- Deepen regional engagement: Focus resources on states with highest negativity ratios for targeted sentiment improvement.
- Amplify positive voices: Engage identified supportive influencers to reinforce favorable narratives across key demographics.
NPIP — Nigerian Political Intelligence Platform
Report Period: May 31 – May 31, 2026 | Generated May 31, 2026 20:05 | http://localhost/npip-php
Powered by Centrix Global LLC, California. USA
This report contains confidential political intelligence. Not for public distribution.
Report Period: May 31 – May 31, 2026 | Generated May 31, 2026 20:05 | http://localhost/npip-php
Powered by Centrix Global LLC, California. USA
This report contains confidential political intelligence. Not for public distribution.