NPIP Weekly Intelligence Report — May 31

📋 Executive Summary

Over 3420 political posts analyzed across 23 states in the past 7 days.
Sentiment is 21% positive vs 24% negative — a net negative environment.
23 active narratives identified; leading: Election Integrity (59 posts).
✅ No critical alerts in this period.

3420

Posts Scraped

7-day total

21%

Positive Sentiment

49 posts

24%

Negative Sentiment

57 posts

Active Narratives

Top: apathy

📊 Sentiment Overview

21%

Positive

56%

Neutral

24%

Negative

Sentiment Ratio: Negative sentiment dominates by 3 percentage points. Neutral sentiment accounts for 56% of all analyzed content.

7-Day Sentiment Score Trend

Dashed line = period average · Each bar = daily sentiment volume

📡 Top Political Narratives

#	Narrative	Posts	Emotion	Velocity
1	Election Integrity 🤖	59	💬 apathy	0/hr
2	Party Politics	18	💬 distrust	0/hr
3	Government Incompetence	15	💬 frustration	0/hr
4	Security Deterioration	11	😨 fear	0/hr
5	Economic Hardship	11	💬 optimism	0/hr
6	Government Performance	7	💬 optimism	0/hr
7	Ethnic Politics	6	😨 fear	0/hr
8	Political Strategy	4	💬 optimism	0/hr

Dominant Narrative: Election Integrity leads with 59 posts at 0 posts/hour.

🏆 Top Influencers

dailypost_news 39.08

15 posts · ➖ Neutral · dailypost

ripples_news 25.09

5 posts · negative · ripples

premium_times_news 20.92

6 posts · negative · premium times

punch_news 19.99

3 posts · ➖ Neutral · punch

thecable_news 12.93

2 posts · negative · thecable

daily_trust_news 10.99

3 posts · — · daily trust

🗺 Regional Sentiment Map

State	Posts	Dominant Sentiment	Risk Level
Abuja	85	Neutral	🟢 Low
Lagos	80	Neutral	🟢 Low
Niger	28	Neutral	🟢 Low
Oyo	15	Neutral	🟢 Low
Rivers	10	Neutral	🟢 Low
Imo	7	Neutral	🟢 Low
Kano	7	Positive	🟢 Low
Delta	5	Negative	🟡 Moderate
Edo	5	Neutral	🟢 Low
Kwara	4	Positive	🟢 Low
Ogun	4	Negative	🟡 Moderate
Anambra	3	Positive	🟢 Low

🌍 Language Distribution

English 100%

Language	Posts	%
English	282	100%

Insight: English dominates at 100%, while indigenous languages (Pidgin, Hausa, Yoruba, Igbo) comprise 0% of coverage.

📰 Source Breakdown

Source	Posts	%
Freedom online	38	10%
New telegraph	36	10%
Independent	34	9%
Nigerian observer	27	7%
Pm news	24	7%
Radionigeria	23	6%
Dailypost	20	5%
Von	20	5%
Business day	19	5%
Daily report ng	18	5%
Ynaija	13	4%
Bellanaija	12	3%
Channelstv	11	3%
Business hallmark	10	3%
Nan	10	3%
Metrowatch	10	3%
The whistler	8	2%
Information nigeria	8	2%
Informant247	6	2%
Daily trust	6	2%
Daily nigerian	5	1%
Within nigeria	4	1%
News ng	3	1%
Daily asset	2	1%
Premium times	1	0%

🔮 72-Hour Predictive Outlook

Narrative	Predicted Polarity	Confidence	Reasoning
Election Integrity	Positive	30%	Limited data shows sharp decline from 11 to 1-2 posts/hr despite positive acceleration metric. Positive sentiment dominates small sample (3 pos vs 2 n

💡 Strategic Recommendations

✅ Favorable conditions: Current sentiment environment is manageable. Maintain existing communication strategy with targeted reinforcement in key states.
🤖 Coordinated activity detected: Top narrative shows signs of orchestrated amplification. Investigate actor networks and prepare counter-narrative strategy.
📊 Deepen regional engagement: Focus resources on states with highest negativity ratios for targeted sentiment improvement.
👥 Amplify positive voices: Engage identified supportive influencers to reinforce favorable narratives across key demographics.