NPIP Weekly Intelligence Report
📅 May 25 – May 25, 2026
🎯 Bola Tinubu
⚡ Generated May 25, 2026 20:36
🔒 Confidential — For Authorized Recipients Only
📋 Executive Summary
- Over 3170 political posts analyzed across 38 states in the past 7 days.
- Sentiment is 33% positive vs 26% negative — a net favorable environment.
- 6 active narratives identified; leading: Election Integrity (45 posts).
- ✅ No critical alerts in this period.
3170
Posts Scraped
7-day total
33%
Positive Sentiment
310 posts
26%
Negative Sentiment
249 posts
6
Active Narratives
Top: apathy
📊 Sentiment Overview
33%
Positive
41%
Neutral
26%
Negative
Sentiment Ratio: Positive sentiment leads by 7 percentage points. Neutral sentiment accounts for 41% of all analyzed content.
7-Day Sentiment Score Trend
Dashed line = period average · Each bar = daily sentiment volume
🎯 Candidate Focus: Bola Tinubu
88
Total Mentions
41
Positive
12
Negative
47%
Positive Sentiment
Analysis: Bola Tinubu was mentioned 88 times in the past week.
Sentiment is 47% positive vs 14% negative.
📡 Top Political Narratives
| # | Narrative | Posts | Emotion | Velocity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Election Integrity | 45 | 💬 optimism | 9/hr |
| 2 | Security Deterioration | 6 | 💬 optimism | 1/hr |
| 3 | Government Incompetence | 5 | 💬 frustration | 0/hr |
| 4 | Judiciary Independence | 2 | 💬 frustration | 0/hr |
| 5 | Economic Hardship | 2 | 💬 frustration | 1/hr |
| 6 | Ethnic Politics | 2 | 💬 optimism | 0/hr |
Dominant Narrative: Election Integrity leads with 45 posts at 9 posts/hour.
🔔 Active Alerts & Crisis Watch
Spike detected: 'Government Incompetence'
Narrative 'Government Incompetence' growing at 6 posts/hr (acceleration: +6).
May 23, 2026 11:52
Spike detected: 'Election Integrity'
Narrative 'Election Integrity' growing at 11 posts/hr (acceleration: +11).
May 23, 2026 11:52
Spike detected: 'Government Incompetence'
Narrative 'Government Incompetence' growing at 6 posts/hr (acceleration: +6).
May 23, 2026 11:38
Spike detected: 'Election Integrity'
Narrative 'Election Integrity' growing at 11 posts/hr (acceleration: +11).
May 23, 2026 11:38
🏆 Top Influencers
dailypost_news
39.08
15 posts · ➖ Neutral · dailypost
premium_times_news
20.92
6 posts · negative · premium times
🗺 Regional Sentiment Map
| State | Posts | Dominant Sentiment | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lagos | 84 | Positive | 🟢 Low |
| Abuja | 81 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Niger | 79 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Rivers | 46 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Kwara | 40 | Negative | 🟢 Low |
| Imo | 33 | Negative | 🟢 Low |
| Gombe | 27 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Kano | 27 | Positive | 🟢 Low |
| Oyo | 27 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Akwa Ibom | 26 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Plateau | 26 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
| Sokoto | 25 | Neutral | 🟢 Low |
🌍 Language Distribution
English 100%
| Language | Posts | % |
|---|---|---|
| English | 492 | 100% |
Insight: English dominates at 100%,
while indigenous languages (Pidgin, Hausa, Yoruba, Igbo) comprise 0% of coverage.
📰 Source Breakdown
| Source | Posts | % |
|---|---|---|
| New telegraph | 119 | 4% |
| Pm news | 118 | 4% |
| Von | 108 | 3% |
| Dailypost | 108 | 3% |
| Business day | 106 | 3% |
| Tribune | 101 | 3% |
| Daily trust | 100 | 3% |
| Independent | 97 | 3% |
| Ynaija | 93 | 3% |
| Daily nigerian | 89 | 3% |
| Ripples | 87 | 3% |
| Nan | 87 | 3% |
| Bellanaija | 85 | 3% |
| Leadership | 85 | 3% |
| Linda ikeji | 84 | 3% |
| Nairaland | 83 | 3% |
| Thecable | 83 | 3% |
| Thisday | 83 | 3% |
| Premium times | 83 | 3% |
| Within nigeria | 81 | 3% |
| Ait | 79 | 3% |
| Tori news | 78 | 2% |
| Arise tv | 78 | 2% |
| Punch | 74 | 2% |
| Peoples gazette | 74 | 2% |
| Nairametrics | 72 | 2% |
| Sahara reporters | 72 | 2% |
| Blueprint | 72 | 2% |
| Legit | 71 | 2% |
| Guardian | 70 | 2% |
| The sun | 70 | 2% |
| Vanguard | 69 | 2% |
| Channelstv | 69 | 2% |
| Thenation | 61 | 2% |
| Freedom online | 40 | 1% |
| Radionigeria | 35 | 1% |
| Nigerian observer | 24 | 1% |
| Daily report ng | 20 | 1% |
| Informant247 | 18 | 1% |
| Business hallmark | 16 | 1% |
| The whistler | 16 | 1% |
| Metrowatch | 15 | 0% |
| Information nigeria | 13 | 0% |
| News ng | 13 | 0% |
| Propolitics | 11 | 0% |
| Daily asset | 11 | 0% |
| The tide | 10 | 0% |
| Newsdiary | 7 | 0% |
🔮 72-Hour Predictive Outlook
| Narrative | Predicted Polarity | Confidence | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election Integrity | Positive | 30% | Limited data shows sharp decline from 11 to 1-2 posts/hr despite positive acceleration metric. Positive sentiment dominates small sample (3 pos vs 2 n |
💡 Strategic Recommendations
- ✅ Favorable conditions: Current sentiment environment is manageable. Maintain existing communication strategy with targeted reinforcement in key states.
- 📊 Deepen regional engagement: Focus resources on states with highest negativity ratios for targeted sentiment improvement.
- 👥 Amplify positive voices: Engage identified supportive influencers to reinforce favorable narratives across key demographics.
NPIP — Nigerian Political Intelligence Platform
Report Period: May 25 – May 25, 2026 | Generated May 25, 2026 20:36 | http://localhost/npip-php
Powered by Centrix Global LLC, California. USA
This report contains confidential political intelligence. Not for public distribution.
Report Period: May 25 – May 25, 2026 | Generated May 25, 2026 20:36 | http://localhost/npip-php
Powered by Centrix Global LLC, California. USA
This report contains confidential political intelligence. Not for public distribution.